Syria most notably and maybe Gaza and Iran, with the former being a genocide against Gazans that Hamas seems incapable of stopping, though there is a growing movement against volunteership and the draft in Israel right now, which may help a year or two from then, but do they even have that much time?

Iran closed the strait of Hormuz but got a recent high-stakes meeting bombed.

The Russian Federation doesn’t want to give their advanced ballistic missile systems to Iran, or seems reluctant to do so, to remain in good standing with Israel and maybe Turkey and the Gulf States, hoping to court them.

I don’t even know just how well they’re doing in Ukraine; there was that “drone attack” by Ukraine that was launched into Russia, perhaps all across it, at military facilities, but I don’t know. I was told that they’re gaining 10 miles a day, I think? But I don’t know where those miles or square miles are as Ukraine is still a big country with NATO behind its back.

I don’t doubt that many geopolitical powers are arising and increasing bourgeois infighting, like between Musk and Trump, may result in, well, interesting results. Indeed, it may be that Saudi Arabia will one day turn against the West, but for now, it’s gaining its strength and gaining power over the Western imperialist system, them and their Wahhabi allies. If they smell blood in the water, Iran’s toast, at least maybe…

Don’t get me wrong, I see many positives nowadays… but also many negatives and things are in flux.

It could be like the 1980s where everyone thought the Soviet Union was “winning” until it didn’t (during the very late 80s, at least).

We’ll see what happens.

  • الأرض ستبقى عربية@lemmygrad.ml
    10·
    10 days ago

    Here are a few things to keep you hopeful despite how awful it has gotten:

    • The trends are not in favour of the G7 or NATO, at best they can delay the inevitable.
    • Turkiye is increasingly asserting itself. To think there was a time when it wasn’t even allowed to make ammunition. See: TAI TF Kaan.
    • Yemen forced the US into a ceasefire.
    • Russia surmounted what was supposed to be unsurmountable sanctions, its economy has out grown the US’s and the UK’s in 2024.
    • More science and technology research is happening outside of the US, specifically in China.
    • Israel has never been more unhinged and honest about its intentions. In the past they would deny the Nakba, now they openly call for a Second Nakba. In the past they would claim that all they want is to live in peace and to defend themselves from threats, now they are openly threatening Qatar and Egypt.
    • The US and Israel are acting violently and irrationally -regardless of party- because they know they are running out of time.

    Of course none of this make the genocide in Gaza anymore bearable, and it is depressing that the world is watching and no one is trying to stop it. But the system -rule based order- that allows it is being weakened even if at a slower pace than we would like.