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Even if they are, China’s military buildup seems squarely aimed at an invasion of Taiwan. China would just need to ramp up it’s missile defenses to counter that deterrent.
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Nation leaders often miscalculate the risk/reward of going to war. Look at Russia’s invasion of Ukraine for an obvious example. Even if Taiwanese missiles would heavily impact China, that doesn’t mean they’ll understand that. They may also figure that China will be able to deal with it and still come out on top (and they might be right).
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Almost every war game and analyst predicts the invasion starting with a huge barrage of missiles from China. The first strikes would be designed to cripple Taiwan’s ability to defend itself/retaliate. Many of the missiles aimed at China would be destroyed before being launched.
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In war games, it’s assumed that the US will be at war with China along with a coalition of Pacific nations assisting. Even with all this support, Taiwan is defended, but only barely. The current administration is focused inward to the point of being much less likely to assist Taiwan or, at least assist much less than war games assume. China may feel pressured to strike during the current administration so Taiwan doesn’t have has much help.
A friend gave me this book because they heard I liked sci Fi. I started it. I guess I’m glad I bounced off it.