So going off their most comprehensive Model 4, violent vs non-violent offence does not make a statistically significant difference.
Factors predicting a statistically significant shorter time to recapture:
Being white-skinned (i.e. for once there is a reverse-white privilege here, not sure why).
Shorter sentence length (i.e. being in for less time actually increases the chances of eventual recapture).
There being evidence the escape was planned (i.e. planned escapes are less likely to succeed than opportunistic ones - or maybe the good planned ones leave no evidence).
The escape happening in summer (maybe longer daylight hours?).
The escape happening from somewhere other than a non-secure / minimum security facility, as opposed to a secure facility or a secure or non-secure outside location like work release.
The escape happening in a larger group (i.e. those who escape in groups are more likely to be recaptured).
The escape happening other than from a local jail (i.e. local jail does predict a longer time to recapture).
The escape happening in the Western region.
So I think to answer your question from that, a short sentence length for a non-violent crime doesn’t reduce the time to recapture.
If I’m understanding you right that they get captured quicker in the summer than in the winter, it’s because in the winter the people looking for them are eventually just like,"OK fuck it for tonight, I need hot coffee " and clock out at 430 instead of 530.
Looks like someone did the statistical analysis that answers at least how soon they are likely to get recaptured (correlation not causation) at https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Bryce-Peterson/publication/377596204_Catch_'em_if_you_can_examining_how_often_and_how_quickly_people_who_escape_from_prisons_and_jails_are_recaptured/links/65b152979ce29c458baa3402/Catch-em-if-you-can-examining-how-often-and-how-quickly-people-who-escape-from-prisons-and-jails-are-recaptured.pdf
So going off their most comprehensive Model 4, violent vs non-violent offence does not make a statistically significant difference.
Factors predicting a statistically significant shorter time to recapture:
So I think to answer your question from that, a short sentence length for a non-violent crime doesn’t reduce the time to recapture.
If I’m understanding you right that they get captured quicker in the summer than in the winter, it’s because in the winter the people looking for them are eventually just like,"OK fuck it for tonight, I need hot coffee " and clock out at 430 instead of 530.