• Why9@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    “Have you ever seen a fierce animal you were sure would never bite?” -Zoro

    I just think Putin is being backed into a corner, and things are likely far more dire with inflation soaring in Russia, military supplies being replenished by the likes of Iran and N.Korea, army morale at a low point, with desertions rising, and suffering huge losses both in soldiers and equipment and having to rely on what’s at the bottom of the proverbial battle.

    Someone like Putin? Might just use the Nuke and then kill himself, like a coward. I just don’t think we should take the threat of Nuclear war so lightly.

    With so many -capable nations in the world now, I’m sure if a Nuke gets used once, it’ll be used many times.

    • skillissuer@discuss.tchncs.de
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      1 year ago

      you’re missing the point

      for putin the primary objective is staying in power. during his term, starting a war to drum up nationalist sentiments in order to ignore economic shitshow and decaying state apparatus worked pretty well already three times - in 1999 bombings blamed on chechens which served as a pretext for second chechen war, invasion of georgia in 2008 and invasion of donbas and crimea in 2014. it even worked for few first weeks in 2022, it just happens that he bit way too much than he could chew.

      putin will try to go forward at current slow pace because backing off would be a political suicide, and escalation to nukes would be an actual suicide (there’s already nuclear bunker buster with putin’s name on it somewhere in the midwest). he won’t do either, instead he’ll try to limit western aid to prevent western escalation which would also be catastrophic to him. here you have it explained nicely with sources https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fWKGYnO0Jf4