A German foundation has said it will no longer be awarding a prize for political thinking to a leading Russian-American journalist after criticizing as “unacceptable” a recent essay by the writer in which they made a comparison between Gaza and a Jewish ghetto in Nazi-occupied Europe.
This one also is relevant: Greatly enhanced risk to humans as a consequence of empirically determined lower moist heat stress tolerance | PNAS
We’re going to start seeing that in about a decade. You should imagine scale and intensity growing over time.
You should also consider migration at least within the region. That’s not easy to model, but you can start by looking at the role of climate heating and drought in Syria.