That slightly poor wording choice was my entire point.

I’m only countering your claim where you seem to be suggesting that the term AGI was made up to market LLMs. It wasn’t - that term has existed for a long time.

The term AGI was coined far before LLMs even existed.

The term AGI was first used in 1997 by Mark Avrum Gubrud in an article named ‘Nanotechnology and international security’

By advanced artificial general intelligence, I mean AI systems that rival or surpass the human brain in complexity and speed, that can acquire, manipulate and reason with general knowledge, and that are usable in essentially any phase of industrial or military operations where a human intelligence would otherwise be needed. Such systems may be modeled on the human brain, but they do not necessarily have to be, and they do not have to be “conscious” or possess any other competence that is not strictly relevant to their application. What matters is that such systems can be used to replace human brains in tasks ranging from organizing and running a mine or a factory to piloting an airplane, analyzing intelligence data or planning a battle.

I don’t see the issue. I have a friend I hang out with once a year for a day and we don’t talk eachother a single word for the remaining time.

LLM are unable to become AGI.

You could not possibly know that. You’re attributing to it a probability of zero and zero is an extreme number. Unlikely is a claim you can defend. Zero you cannot.

They want AGI, not LLMs. They’re pretty much betting everything on getting there first knowing that if they do it’ll pay them back a millionfold what they invested up front. They’re taking a massive risk for a potentially massive reward. They’re coaching a college kid to become a professional athlete. It’s not profitable yet but they’re investing heavily in them in the hopes that one day it will be.

After that, it starts going downhill.

No study suggests this. It keeps going up - you’re just hitting diminishing returns.

Having financial security eases with financial worries to an extent but doesn’t entirely solve even that issue nor does it even begin to deal with the unrelated issues. One can be financially secure and absolutely miserable.

Bold claim considering there is no agreed upon definition on what we even mean by the term intelligence.

• The ability to acquire, understand, and use knowledge.
• the ability to learn or understand or to deal with new or trying situations
• the ability to apply knowledge to manipulate one’s environment or to think abstractly as measured by objective criteria (such as tests)
• the act of understanding
• the ability to learn, understand, and make judgments or have opinions that are based on reason
• It can be described as the ability to perceive or infer information; and to retain it as knowledge to be applied to adaptive behaviors within an environment or context.

Guess what else heavily relies on pattern recognition and probabilities? Humans.

Which is a so-called thought terminating clishé: a slogan intended to end discussion without even engaging with it.

AI isn’t any one thing. It’s an broad term used in computer science to refer to any system designed to perform a cognitive task that would normally require human intelligence. The chess opponent on an old Atari console is an AI. It’s an intelligent system - but only narrowly so. That’s called “narrow” or “weak” AI.

It can still have superhuman abilities, but only within the specific task it was built for - like playing chess or generating language.

A large language model like ChatGPT is also narrow AI. It’s exceptionally good at what it was designed to do: generate natural-sounding language. What people expect from it, though, isn’t narrow intelligence - it’s general intelligence. The ability to apply cognitive skills across a wide range of domains the way a human can. That’s something LLMs simply can’t do - at least not yet. Artificial General Intelligence is the end goal for many AI companies, but LLMs are not generally intelligent. However they still fall under the umbrella of AI as a broad category of systems.

VLC has hotkey for this. It’s pretty easy to tweak with just trial an error and no need to go to settings to guestimate the values.

Those are diesel-electric though. Effectively a diesel locomotive on wheels.

and may never be.

Yes, if we destroy ourselves some other way before we get there. Otherwise it’s absolutely going to be.

Never is a forecast of infinity. That’s a really long time.

Little nuance to the headline:

administration is temporarily relaxing rules on hours ​of service by truck drivers handling gasoline and diesel, citing supply ‌and cost concerns.

Here’s one I photographed recently