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Cake day: July 26th, 2023

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  • Alternative history is sort of difficult because we don’t know what the capabilities of those powers would have been. In order for the Nazis to have won the war a lot of people on both sides would have needed to make quite radically different decisions.

    However it doesn’t take much theorizing to suggest that Nazi Germany would have probably had nuclear weapons in that scenario (the Germans were moving in that direction towards the end of the war, but were never really able to make much progress because by that point they were losing badly and didn’t have the resources anymore).

    I can’t see how Japan would have ended up with nuclear weapons though. So I suspect a certain amount of power imbalance would have existed.





  • You could say that some of the national borders as they exist right now are needlessly artificial.

    Take Spain and Catalonia for example. The only reason that Catalonia is not an independent country is because Spain won’t let them be. There’s no real reason other than Spanish national pride and if there was a war between the two you could classify it as a civil war or you could classify it as a war between two countries, it’s entirely a matter of opinion.

    But I don’t think that US politics has any real bearing on whether or not that happens. Political instability in the United States doesn’t really lead to any obvious change in internal politics for other countries. External policies obviously would change but not internal ones.


  • A slight nitpick but Japan didn’t side with the Nazis. They had their own thing going on with China and simply saw the Nazis as an opportunity for some payback. It wasn’t like they really bought into the Nazi ideology as didn’t really apply to them. The Italians were all in on it though.

    Had the war turned out differently there would have been a radical cultural difference between Nazi controlled Europe and Japanese controlled Asia. In the long run it would have probably led to another war because of the extreme cultural differences.


  • The USA will be treated as even less trustworthy than Russia and China. Russia and China are of course untrustworthy but at least they are consistently untrustworthy. Everyone knows to give them a wide birth.

    But the USA, they insinuated themselves into high-level defence pacts and international military cooperation. Then they decided to turn fascist and destroy everything for no readily apparent reason.

    If there is going to be any repairing of fences, it’s going to have to start off with the US paying for all the damage they have done to the world order and all of the renegotiating of contracts that has had to be done because they didn’t feel like fulfilling their international obligations. And also justice, if the Trump admin don’t end up in prison then the rest of the world is going to see that for what it is. An attempt to defend the indefensible, and therefore an indication that they have not truly changed.